How does the model trade?
The model typically looks for a 50-pip profit against a 30 to 50-pip adjusting stop loss. These levels are determined by the model at the start of each new trading week. The model has parameters that give it a cautious stance overall, and there are typically just 1-2 trades per day. To cut down risk, the model closes positions on Friday night before the NY close, and the first trade in any week is the next signalled trade.

When did live trading begin?
Spotradar EUR/USD model has been run live since January 2005, and GBPUSD have been trading live since November 2006. In that time on EURUSD we have seen a maximum number of 5 consecutive losing trades, and periods of 11 - 17 consecutive winners, on GBP USD we have had a maximum number of 5 consecutive losing trades, and several periods of 5-6 consecutive winners.

What trading results have been produced?
HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM.
ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IN THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARETION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.

 

Summary of Live EUR/USD Trading Track Record

Year
# Trades
Winners
Losers
% Winners
Pips
Unleveraged
X 4 Leveraged
x 8 Leveraged

Percentage
Percentage
Percentage
2005
199
107
92
54
578
5.78
23.12
46.24
2006
171
108
63
63
1,464
14.64
58.56
117.12
2007
137
75
62
55
700
7.00
28.006
56.00
Total
507
290
217
57
2,742
27.42
109.68
219.368
 

Summary of Live GBP/USD Trading Track Record

Year
# Trades
Winners
Losers
% Winners
Pips
Unleveraged
X 4 Leveraged
x 8 Leveraged

Percentage
Percentage
Percentage
2006 Nov-Dec
24
14
10
58
111
1.11
4.44
8.88
2007
268
156
111
58
1263
12.63
50.52
101.04
Total
292
180
131
58
1,374
13.74
54.96
109.92

 

Contact Nostradamus for more information.
eMail geoffgant@nostradamus.co.uk